Get a Three-Leg, +1000 Parlay for Texans vs Patriots

• San WR1 Nico Collins, the Houston Texans meet the New England Patriots on Sunday, Jan 18
• TE Dalton Schultz should benefit from Collins’ absence
• Below, see my three-leg, +1000 Texans vs Patriots same-game parlay for the Divisional Round

The AFC Divisional Round delivers a captivating duel between two ferocious defenses when the Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots at 3:00 pm ET on Sunday, January 18th. While this projects as a low-scoring, defensive slugfest, I have found three overs that I like, and I’ve put them into a Texans/Patriots SGP with long odds.

Texans vs Patriots Same-Game Parlay

Together, the three legs of this Texans/Patriots SGP work out to a +1000 price at DraftKings. This SGP underscores the importance of line shopping all bets; te same picks returns odds of +850 at BetMGM and +883 at FanDuel.

Odds as of 9:50 am ET, January 18th. Download the top Super Bowl betting apps for the 2026 playoffs.

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Texans vs Patriots SGP Pick #1: Dalton Schultz Anytime Touchdown (+245)

The Texans’ had the fourth-worst red-zone efficiency during the regular season but found pay dirt on 2-of-3 RZ opportunities against a very good Pittsburgh defense last week. With Nico Collins out, tight end Dalton Schultz emerges as CJ Stroud’s primary red-zone aerial weapon. He commanded 23% of the team’s red-zone targets against the Steelers.

The former Cowboy has four TDs in his last seven postseason games, and he’ll face a New England defense that allowed the 12th-most yards to tight ends during the regular season. Oronde Gadsden and Tucker Fisk combined for 42 yards for the Chargers last week, hauling in all five targets.

Texans vs Patriots SGP Pick #2: Drake Maye Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Maye had a stunning 66 rushing yards on ten carries against the Chargers in the Wild Card Round. During the regular season, he was third on the team with 450 rushing yards in 17 games (averaging 26.5 yards per game).

Importantly, Houston has a ferocious pass rush with elite edge rushers on both ends: Danielle Hunter (15 sacks) and Will Anderson Jr (12 sacks). As a team, the Texans generated four sacks last week.

New England’s offensive line is better in run blocking than pass blocking. The unit allowed 48 sacks during the regular season (ninth-most in the NFL). When Maye drops back, he will be forced out of the pocket with regularity, which will once again lead to a higher number of carries than he averaged in the regular season. If Maye totes the ball another nine or ten times, he only needs to average about four yards per carry to hit the over.

Texans vs Patriots SGP Pick #3: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 62.5 Rush+Rec Yards (-112)

The last leg of my Texans/Patriots same-game parlay is New England RB1 Rhamondre Stevenson to hit the over on his rushing/receiving prop of 62.5 yards. Stevenson was the vanguard of New England’s attack last week, carrying the ball ten times for 53 yards and hauling in three catches (on four targets) for a team-leading 75 yards, including a long of 48.

This continued a compelling trend from the regular season in which Stevenson exploded as a receiver over the final five weeks: 49.6% of Stevenson’s 345 receiving yards came in the last five games. He had at least two catches and 22 yards in all five of those contests.

Those receiving yards didn’t come at the cost of rushing yards, either. He also generated 52.9% of his 603 rushing yards over that span, emerging as the clear RB1 ahead of TreVeyon Henderson.

Houston’s defense is a stiff test for any skill-position player, but given Stevenson’s integral role in both facets of the Patriots’ attack, this line is soft as pudding.

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