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  • Algeria is favored over Jordan on Tuesday
  • Algeria will be without forward Mohamed Amoura
  • See my top Jordan vs Algeria predictions and goalscorer picks on June 22

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Algeria and Jordan meet in Santa Clara on Wednesday, June 22, at 10:00 pm ET for a vital Group J clash. Both squads suffered heavy defeats in their opening matches: Algeria fell 3-0 to Argentina, while Jordan collapsed in a 3-1 loss to Austria.

Both teams need a victory to have a realistic chance at reaching the knockout stage, which is the main reason that I expect an urgent, expansive match.

Below, I will break down the moneyline, total goals, and player props to find the best market value.

Algeria vs Jordan Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

Both squads stumbled initially, but my data still points to a rebound for the North Africans. Algeria maintained a 53% possession rate against elite Argentine opposition. Their primary issue was final-third execution, generating zero shots on target. Meanwhile, Jordan’s 38% possession rate and three goals against reveal deep structural vulnerabilities.

3-Way Moneyline: Algeria (64¢ at Kalshi)

I make Algeria the likeliest winner, but the 64-cent price makes this more of a lean than a standout value play. They should dictate tempo and can starve Jordan of the counter-attacking opportunities they need.

The talent gap is wide enough for Algeria to be sizable chalk, though the market price already accounts for much of that edge.

Total Goals: Over 2.5 (51¢ at Kalshi)

The Jordan defense is getting absolutely shredded lately. Both nations saw their openers comfortably clear the 2.5 goal mark, conceding six total goals in 180 minutes.

With both teams desperate for points, I forecast an open, expansive second half. At 51 cents, this is a very playable number.

Anytime Goalscorer: Riyad Mahrez (32¢ at Kalshi)

Jordan’s defensive collapse exposed massive weaknesses on the flanks. With Algeria projected to hold the vast majority of possession, Mahrez will isolate defenders in wide areas.

The 32-cent price on Kalshi remains my favorite player-prop value. His attacking presence cements his +EV profile in a match where I expect Algeria to score multiple times.

Jordan vs Algeria Odds

The market firmly positions Algeria as substantial -178 moneyline favorites, with Jordan a +567 longshot, and a full-time draw priced at +335.

Algeria winning by more than 1.5 goals sits at 38¢ (+163), Jordan over 0.5 team goals at 56¢ (-127, and Algeria Over 1.5 team goals at 58¢ (-138).

A $10 wager on the favored Algerians at -178 odds, it yields $5.60 in profit for a $15.60 payout. A $10 wager on the underdog Jordanians at +481 generates $56.70in profit, resulting in a total payout of $66.70 if they pull off the historic upset.

Algeria’s odds to win the World Cup faded from +37500 (on average) to +40000 after their opening loss to Argentina. But they remain just inside the top 32 teams.

Jordan vs Algeria Head-to-Head History & Recent Form

The teams played to a 1-1 draw in a 2004 friendly but haven’t met since.

Algeria has a considerably better record over the last seven matches, though Jordan has played – on average – stiffer competition (27.4 average ranking vs 38.3 average ranking).

Algeria’s proven international pedigree provides a decisive edge over the debuting Jordanians, who have conceded a wildly concerning 2.0 goals per game over their last seven matches.

Jordan vs Algeria Injury Reports

Algeria will be without forward Mohamed Amoura, who is out with a hamstring injury. That absence removes one of Vladimir Petkovic’s attacking options and slightly narrows Algeria’s rotation in the final third.

Jordan enter this crucial fixture without any key or star players listed as questionable or worse.

Even with Amoura unavailable, Algeria still have enough attacking quality through Riyad Mahrez and their midfield creators to carry the favorite’s profile, but the injury is worth factoring into any Algeria team-total or margin-of-victory bets.



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