Predictions & Player-Prop Picks for Astros vs Tigers

• The surging Houston Astros look for a fourth straight win over the Detroit Tigers
• Detroit has lost three in a row, scoring a total of six runs
• Read below for the my Astros vs Tigers prediction, latest odds and prop picks

After dropping the opener of their three game set Thursday, the Detroit Tigers are slight home favorites in the MLB odds to even up their series with the visiting Houston Astros.

Houston has been on the come up, with seven wins in their last nine games, and have are looking for a fourth straight win in this head-to-head with the Tigers.

Detroit starts the day just a half-game out of last place in the AL Central.

Action gets underway at 6:40pm ET from Comerica Park in Motown, in a game that can be seen live nationally on MLB TV.

Read below for updated odds, and my prediction and best player prop picks.

Astros vs Tigers Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Astros vs Tigers and other MLB action.

The Tigers are positioned as a moderate home favorite at -120 on the moneyline at bet365, while taking the visiting Astros yields even money at +102 from DraftKings.

In the runline market, laying 1.5 runs with the Tigers offers a -208 payout at BetMGM, while the same spread on the Astros pays out at -205 odds.

The game total has sone variance: Over bettors should go to bet365 where the line is 8.0 runs. Under bettors would probably prefer FanDuel, where the total is bumped to 8.5 runs.

HOU Astros vs DET Tigers Prediction

• Best Bet: Tigers ML (-120 at bet365)

Looking at the MLB probable pitchers, the Tigers send Keider Montero to the mound. He flashes a pristine 1.00 WHIP alongside a respectable 3.63 ERA. He has the command to neutralize the Astros bats and control the tempo at Comerica Park.

Montero suffers from poor run support, leading to a misleading 3-4 record. He is highly efficient at limiting baserunners, holding opponents to a .212 batting average. While his strikeout rate is lower, Montero commands the zone and forces soft contact. Be sure to learn more about the batter vs pitcher stats in this matchup.

The Astros counter with Spencer Arrighetti. He’s compiled an impressive 7-3 record behind a 3.13 ERA. His success stems from missing bats, evidenced by his 8.87 K/9 rate. However, he is prone to allowing base traffic with a 1.20 WHIP.

The pitching staff has taken severe damage, losing Lance McCullers Jr and Cristian Javier. This stretches the rotation thin and places immense pressure on Arrighetti to protect an overworked bullpen.

While the Tigers struggle to generate consistent home offense, ranking 21st in runs per game and 22nd in batting average at Comerica Park, they do rank fourth in home average exit velocity at 89.2 mph.

The Astros hold a clear advantage in almost every traditional offensive metric. They rank among the top ten in visiting batting average and OPS. Their road power is elite, averaging 1.36 home runs per away game. This offensive profile supports my Alvarez prop bet.

Still, the Tigers boast a distinct run-prevention advantage in this matchup. Their pitching staff owns a collective 3.80 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. They significantly outpace an Astros pitching unit that holds a 4.71 overall ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

I am officially backing the Tigers on the moneyline at -120.

Astros vs Tigers Props

Spencer Arrighetti OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-104 at FanDuel): The underlying data supports a strong punchout performance. Arrighetti averages 8.87 strikeouts per nine innings. He faces a Tigers lineup prone to the strikeout, fanning at a 26.2% clip.

Yordan Alvarez to record 2+ total bases (-130 at FanDuel): The Astros slugger is slashing .318/.430/.625 with 25 home runs. Given his sheer volume of extra-base hits and 1.055 OPS, backing Alvarez is mathematically sound.