Predictions & Player Props to Bet in Tigers vs Orioles on May 24 (Game 1)

• The Baltimore Orioles are -127 favorites in Game 1 of their doubleheader with Detroit Sunday
• Detroit has lost seven games in a row, including Friday’s opener vs the Orioles
• Read below for my Tigers vs Orioles prediction, updated odds and player prop picks

Thanks to a rainout Saturday, the Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles will play a doubleheader Sunday.

The O’s are the home betting favorites to take Game 1 in the MLB odds, and they’ll be facing a struggling Tigers’ side that has lost seven in a row.

First pitch is set for 12:35pm ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with MLB TV providing the national broadcast coverage.

Tigers vs Orioles Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use the BetMGM promo code to wager on Tigers vs Orioles.

Baltimore is just a slight -124 favorite to win outright, while the Tigers are a not-too-distant +106 as the underdog, with both odds provided by the folks at FanDuel.

On the runline, Baltimore winning by at least two runs comes at +158 odds, while the Tigers staying within two runs is a less entircing -185 over at bet365, especially considering they’ve had just two games decided by a single run during this slide.

Over bettors should grab odds from bet365, who have set the total at 8.0 runs. That’s a half-point less than what FanDuel has, so Under bettors can head there and get -122 odds.

DET Tigers vs BAL Orioles Prediction

• Best Bet: Rays ML (+120 at bet365)

Baltimore possesses a clear offensive edge at home.

At Camden Yards, the Orioles slug to a .708 team OPS with 222 runs scored. Meanwhile, the Tigers sputter on the road, managing just a .234 batting average and a .689 OPS.

Baltimore hits the ball harder with an 88.9 mph average exit velocity compared to Detroit’s 87.7 mph.

However, the Tigers hold a distinct advantage on the mound. Their pitching staff possesses a 3.97 overall ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, heavily outperforming Baltimore’s bloated 4.97 ERA.

I expect this dichotomy to keep the game competitive, but the home bats should ultimately prevail.

Looking at the MLB probable pitchers in Game 1 Sunday, Framber Valdez takes the mound for Detroit, holding a 2-3 record and a 4.58 ERA across his first 10 starts.

His 4.06 FIP indicates he pitches better than his surface-level run prevention suggests, likely suffering from poor batted-ball luck. However, a 1.40 WHIP points to consistent traffic on the basepaths, placing pressure on the defense.

Brandon Young carries a 3-1 record despite underlying metrics hinting at regression. His 4.25 ERA is noticeably lower than his bloated 5.22 FIP.

Young’s high 1.48 WHIP is driven by command struggles, evidenced by a 4.25 BB/9 rate. He averages just 4.94 innings per start, forcing heavy reliance on the bullpen.

Still, I am backing the home team on the moneyline because Detroit struggles to manufacture consistent run support. Baltimore scores nearly a full run more per game (4.72) overall than Detroit manages on the road (3.78).

Tigers vs Orioles Player Props

Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases (+127 at DraftKings)
Greene offers excellent plus-money value in the prop market. He is a bright spot in a quiet Detroit lineup, boasting a .324 batting average and an .889 OPS. Given Baltimore’s generous 4.97 team ERA, Greene should find gaps in the outfield.

Under 8.0 Runs (-105 at Caesars)
The Under has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last 10 games, and six of the Orioles’ last 10 outings. I expect a grind-it-out game that stays under the projected total, neutralizing the potential for a shootout.