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  • New York seeks a bounce-back win after an 8-5 loss in Toronto to open their 3-game set Friday in Toronto
  • Pitching metrics favor the visitors behind Cam Schlittler’s elite 1.87 ERA vs Toronto’s Kevin Gausman
  • Read below for the my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction, latest odds and prop picks

The New York Yankees (41-26) look to rebound as road favorites in the MLB odds against the Toronto Blue Jays (33-36) as these American League East rivals continue their series at Rogers Centre Saturday.

Even with their win — simultaneously snapping New York’s 4-game win streak — Toronto starts the day eight games back of the Yankees who sit in second in the AL East.

First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, in a game that can be seen live nationally on MLB TV.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Yankees vs Blue Jays and other MLB action.

New York enters this matchup as a moderate road favorite, laying -122 on the moneyline at FanDuel. Toronto returns to the diamond as a +110 home underdog on bet365 presenting an appealing price for bettors banking on consecutive upsets.

Since the betting markets opened, the core runline and total numbers have remained steady. The opening spread was set at New York -1.5 (+138) and Toronto +1.5 (-160). The total opened at 7.5 with the Over heavily juiced at -115.

While the 7.5-run total hasn’t budged, the juice has normalized to nearly even, with the Over paying out at -106 and the Over at -105.

NY Yankees vs TOR Blue Jays Prediction

  • Best Bet: Yankees ML (-122 at FanDuel)

I’m taking the Yankees to win outright, mainly from their advantage when breaking down the MLB probable pitchers.

New York hands the ball to Cam Schlittler, who has dominated this season. Through 82.0 innings, he boasts a microscopic 1.87 ERA and an elite 0.87 WHIP. He excels at keeping runners off the basepaths and generates plenty of swing-and-miss with a 9.77 K/9 rate.

He goes toe-to-toe with veteran right-hander Kevin Gausman, who brings a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. While Gausman boasts excellent control, his recent form has dipped slightly. Over his last 10 games, his ERA sits at 4.06.

Pitching Comparison

New York also holds a distinct offensive edge. The Yankees collectively post a .733 OPS on the road compared to Toronto’s .723 OPS at home. New York hits the ball substantially harder, ranking second in the league in away average exit velocity (89.5 mph).

This hard-contact discrepancy translates directly into more extra-base hits for the Yankees. They average nearly half a run more per game (4.86) on the road than the Blue Jays do at Rogers Centre (4.46).

Yankees vs Blue Jays Props

Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+107 at DraftKings): He is currently averaging nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings. Toronto’s lineup presents enough swing-and-miss upside for him to eclipse this total.

Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits (+197 at DraftKings): This is good juice for a guy who homered in the series opener, and has picked up hits in four of his last five starts. His career stats vs Gausman aren’t great (2-for-27), but the odds and his current run are worth a flier.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 0.5 Hits (-210 at DraftKings): Vlad is carrying a modest 3-game hitting streak heading into Saturday, but he has worked over Schlittler in the small sample size of at-bats, going 6-for-11 with an RBI.



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